Research Projects

 

The riba-free banking and finance system described in the four books given above is complete in its theoretical formulation and is ready for implementation.  However, when a given bank decides to change over from conventional to the proposed system, it will have to estimate some parameters (coefficients in the model) that are specific to its own situation, and institute procedures to continuously monitor them.  The data necessary for this exercise are already available in its past records.  The projects proposed in the following paragraphs are designed to extract this data from its records and estimate the parameters needed for the changeover, and to monitor them from then on. 

Since the parameters are dependent on the specific social, economic, business, banking and legal climate within which each bank has to operate, there is room for study of the same projects in every country and within each bank.  However, a standard set of definitions and procedures will help compare the parameter values and hence bank performances across the banks.  Therefore these projects can be undertaken by academics / professionals sponsored / supported by interested banks, central banks of Muslim countries, or banking institutions to set the standards and guidelines in the first instance.  The projects are also suitable as MSc/MPhil dissertations.  If some students and/or academic/professional institutions are willing to undertake these projects, supported by data from operational banks, the author is prepared to assist them.  The model primarily relates to retail banking, and the necessary data are available at the branch level (or at the head office if we are dealing with a single-office bank).

Interested students/researchers/professionals/banks/organisations please contact the author.

                        E-mail:  abdul99@europe.com

                        WebPage: http://users.bart.nl/~abdul/

                        Phone+Fax: +31-50-5775136


Project Description

 

1.  Estimation of the Cost of Overheads

Cost of overheads is the most important component in the whole model.  This is the product of the loan capital and a fixed coefficient, which is a cents-per-dollar cost of obtaining loanable funds.  It has been shown that in all circumstances this overheads cost would be a part of the cost of borrowing.  Therefore it is necessary to estimate this coefficient.

This coefficient is obtained by dividing the net expenditure of the bank by the total loans granted by the bank, on an annual basis.  As such it varies from bank to bank and from year to year.  Net expenditure is obtained by subtracting the total (services) income of the bank from its total expenditure.  Because they vary from bank to bank and from year to year, it is necessary to set up a procedure to routinely collect the necessary data and to compute its value.

This project will define the components that go into the computation of the coefficient, devise a scheme to collect the necessary data on a routine basis, and will develop a procedure to compute the coefficient using this data. 

While each bank will have its own numerical value for the coefficient, it will be very useful for comparative purposes to have the same definitions and procedures.  This will also be cost effective and time efficient.

2.  Estimation of the Cost of Services

This is the second most important component of the cost of borrowing.  It is a one-time cost, specific to each loan, because different loans may require different type of services (or different combinations and sizes).  The services may include legal services, stamp duty, title checking and evaluation of collateral, post and telecommunication, etc.  Each of these services is specific to a given loan, and each must be paid for.  Therefore all the services that may be necessary in the process of granting a loan should be identified and a cost put on each.  Some may depend on the size of the loan and others not.  These too may vary from bank to bank and from year to year.  Therefore procedures have to be established that will routinely collect the necessary data and compute the various costs and coefficients. 

This project will identify all the services that may be used, device a scheme to collect the necessary data on a routine basis, and will develop a procedure to compute the various costs and coefficients using this data.

3.  Developing a Loan Default Risk Insurance scheme

The risk insurance scheme suggested in the system is a completely new idea.  It recognizes the fact that there is a risk associated with every loan, and it also recognizes that it varies from client to client.  But the main point is that even though the risk should be anticipated and precautions taken in general, if at the end it is proved that there was no risk with a particular client then he should be rewarded for his good conduct.  This is achieved by refunding part of his paid premium.  The deduction depends on the extent of the defaults during the period of his loan and his share in the administrative costs of the scheme. 

A major study has to be undertaken, with both bankers and insurers taking part, to devise a scheme.  The bank should be fully protected from any loss due to defaults, and the pool of premium payments from all the clients of the bank (or banks, in a collective scheme) should be sufficient to cover all possible defaults.  The costs of running the scheme should be financed entirely by the premium collection.  The scheme envisages a risk rating system for each client depending on his track record. 

This project aims at devising a suitable loan default risk insurance scheme, possibly run by a third party.

4. Devising a scheme for determining the Credit Multiplier

The credit multiplier (CM) comes into play when commercial banks involve themselves in participatory financing as well as when compensation for inflation is introduced into commercial banking.  (CM comes into play also when the general model is to be used in an interest-based environment.)  In its basic form CM is simply the inverse of the cash reserve ratio.  Therefore essentially determined by the central bank.  However, in practice it is much smaller than this and depends on several factors, including market circumstances, size of the bank, and the policies of the particular bank.  As such it varies from bank to bank and from time to time.  Since it plays a crucial role in the bank’s liquidity and solvency, it is very important to monitor its movements in order to take appropriate action when necessary.  Therefore a scheme for routinely collecting the required data and computing the multiplier is necessary.

The project will define the components that go into the computation of the credit multiplier, devise a scheme to collect the necessary data on a routine basis, and will develop a procedure to compute the multiplier using this data. 

5.  Devising a scheme for the determination of the daily gold price

A scheme to determine the daily market price of gold (at the national level) becomes necessary if compensation for the value loss of capital due to inflation is to be introduced.  The weekly averages and, from them, the recommended 13-week moving averages are to be worked out using these daily prices.

This project will begin by identifying the type of gold that will be the standard, the markets from where the price information is to be collected, and a method of computing the average daily price.  The project will have to work out all the necessary procedures to bring about a routine system to collect, collate and compute the daily, weekly, and 13-week moving average prices, and to disseminate this information to the public and the banks through the central bank. 

6.  Deposit and loan distributions (size, term, rates, etc.)

This is a basic study, not particularly connected to any specific situation.  But an understanding of the basic characteristics of a bank’s deposits and loans will greatly facilitate policy decisions.  When the model is to operate in an interest-based environment, though, this data will be of crucial importance to compute the weighted average deposit interest rate in order to get at the interest component in the cost of borrowing. 

7.  Savings deposits and interest payments distributions

This is also a basic study.  A study of these distributions, in an interest-based environment, is useful to show that, contrary to popular conception, many of the savings account holders do not, in reality, receive the expected interest payments for various reasons.  For example, when minimum period conditions are not met.  (Interest on ordinary savings account is paid only on the minimum amount kept for a certain minimum period, which can be as long as three months in less developed countries.  In some countries there are also restrictions on opening current accounts.)  Their savings accounts are, in effect, current accounts without the benefit of many of the current account facilities.  This is especially the case with a large in number of savings accounts holding small balances for short periods.  It is good to show this by statistical evidence so that people may be convinced that abolishing interest payments to this category of savings accounts holders does not in reality change the status quo.  Since much of the funds for short-term riba-free advances are to come from this source (besides the current account balances), it is necessary to confirm this assumption.